
No doubt about it, for the last few weeks, storm clouds have been gathering as many are seeing a darkening outlook for the U.S. economy. In just the last few days, three key pieces of data – red flags, really – suggest we all need to be vigilant in tracking where the economy is headed. These three pieces of data include: 1) another consumer survey showing eroding confidence; 2) key retailers warning of slowing sales from tariff increases; and 3) a new Fed estimation that the GDP will contract -2.8% in the first quarter of 2025.